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The FxPro Analyst Team

FxPro Forex Analysis: US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin urges President Trump to exempt Canada from Tariffs

The news broke overnight that Steve Mnuchin had urged the President to give Canada an exemption from the Steel and Aluminium tariffs. USDCAD had already sold off from its high of 1.30657 but extended the move and is now trading around 1.29300. Whether Canada gets a pass or not remains to be seen but traders have piled in on the move, with any headlines to the contrary potentially setting up a short squeeze. Australian GDP was released this morning with a beat of 1.0% against 0.9% (QoQ)(Q1) expected. The 1.0% level has been the top of the range in recent years. AUDUSD climbed from 0.76332 to 0.76720 and is now just down off the highs.

Au_GDP_180606

UK Markit Services PMI (May) came in at 54.0 against an expected 53.0 from 52.8 previously. This data is down from its 2013 high of 62.5 but it has bounced from 53.0, which was somewhat of a floor for the last 18 months. The number beat the consensus as expected to move back into this range above 53.0 showing modest growth. GBPUSD moved higher from 1.33341 to 1.33921 following the data release.

UK_ServPMI_180606

US ISM Non – Manufacturing PMI (May) was 58.6 versus an expected 57.5 against 56.8 previously. This is still in the upper range of the data releases we have seen over the past seven years but off the highs reached before the financial crisis above 65.0. The recent data shows a beat on expectations which was above the previous reading suggesting an increase in demand going forward. EURUSD fell from 1.16672 to 1.16523 following this data release.

US_NonManISM_180606

Global Dairy Trade Price Index was released coming in at -1.3% with a previous reading of 1.9%. This was the most negative reading since December 2017 Prices have traded around the zero level since the high of 5.9% in January. NZDUSD moved higher from 0.70037 to finish the day at 0.70344 after this data release.

EURUSD is up 0.05% overnight, trading around 1.17225.
USDJPY is up 0.11% in the early session, trading at around 109.896
GBPUSD is up 0.12% this morning trading around 1.34105.
Gold is up 0.18% in early morning trading at around $1,298.67
WTI is up 0.64% this morning, trading around $65.92