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The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: UK Growth Forecast Lowered – GBP Strengthens

UK Chancellor Phillip Hammond delivered an Autumn Budget that appeared to be somewhat neutral in its content. More sobering was the updated forecast of UK economic growth, which is growing slower than previously thought. Hammond said productivity levels remained "stubbornly flat", with growth until 2021 expected to be lower than predicted in March. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is now predicting the UK economy will grow by 1.5% this year – considerably lower than the 2% forecast ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Can the UK Budget Help PM May?

Today sees the release of the UK’s Autumn Budget with the markets believing this financial statement is critical for Prime Minister Theresa Mays’ survival. Following the very narrow victory she had in the recent General Election, this Budget could provide May with an opportunity for redemption from voters. The Prime Minister is treading water as she deals with conflicts within her own cabinet and talks of a rebellion within her own party to oust her. However, whilst Prime Minister May is under ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Political Turmoil in Germany Hurts EUR

The EUR lost ground against many of its peers on Monday on news that Chancellor Angel Merkel’s efforts to form a coalition government had collapsed, which could result in Germany having to call snap elections. With no viable government coalition, it seems highly likely that Germany will be forced to hold new elections. For the past month, Merkel had been in negotiations with the pro-business FDP and their leader Christian Linder. However, sources close to the negotiations stated that Lindner ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Draghi: “Eurozone economy is robust but…”

Speaking at the Frankfurt European Banking Congress, ECB President Mario Draghi, commented that "although the eurozone economy was robust" recovery was still heavily reliant on stimulus from the European Central Bank. He stated that positive economic growth alone was not enough to allow the ECB to increase the pace of monetary policy normalization. The current lackluster inflation growth is causing withdrawal of stimulus to be slow. He commented that "Despite this progress on the real side of ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: USD Suffers on Subpoena News

The Trump Administration is back in the spotlight with news of a report that Special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigators have issued a subpoena to more than 12 officials in the Trump administration election campaign for documents related to Russia. According to the Wall Street Journal; Mueller’s team issued the subpoena in mid-October, requesting documents and emails from more than a dozen campaign officials that include several keywords related to Russia. The subpoena does not compel ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Positive US Data Negated by Tax Plan Opposition

The US Labor Department released data on Wednesday showing the consumer price index edged up by 0.1% in October after climbing by 0.5% in September. The modest increase in consumer prices was in line with market expectations. CPI excluding food and energy prices climbed by 0.2% in October after inching up by 0.1% in the previous month – as expected by the markets. The US Commerce Department released data showing that US retail sales rose by 0.2% in October after spiking by an upwardly revised ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Data Boosts EUR Can CPI Boost USD?

EUR received a boost on Tuesday, as data from Destatis showed German Preliminary GDP climbed to 0.8% in Q3, beating forecasts of 0.6%. In addition, Q1 growth was adjusted higher to 0.9% from the previous 0.7%. The recent increase in exports and business investment appears to be the main driver behind the improvement, as consumer and government spending were stable through the quarter. Germany’s economy is now growing at an annualized rate of 2.8% the best growth the country has seen for 6 ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Chinese Data Disappoints

China’s economy has been robust throughout 2017 as a continued recovery in manufacturing and industrial sectors, a healthy property market and surprisingly strong exports have helped push growth in the first three quarters close to 6.9%. However, data on Tuesday from the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics showing fixed-asset investment growth declined to 7.3%, through January to October, below forecasts of a 7.4% growth. Further disappointing data showed year-on-year industrial output ...

The FxPro Analyst Team

Forex: Kiwi Gets a Boost

Earlier today the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) left their Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at a record low of 1.75% - as the markets had forecast. More importantly was the RBNZ revising inflation forecasts upwards, which is likely to signal an increase in interest rates earlier than previously predicted. RBNZ acting Governor Spencer stated after the announcement “Monetary policy will remain accommodative for a considerable period,” & “the exchange rate has eased since the August ...